But in such international adventures plans often don’t work out as instigators would like. Take, for instance, Argentina, which after years of awful economic problems invaded Britain’s Falkland Islands in 1982. It’s fair to say that the military junta likely never expected a vigorous response from a country half a world away. Nevertheless, that’s exactly what happened, and the Argentines lost the gamble.As it turns out, that’s very much the calculation China is making, says Chovanec. “Great when it works and very problematic when you cross the red line.”
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