Fc" is the set of facilities located in country c.A particular strategic configuration of the supply chain will have a certainexpected value and standard deviation of the "NPVNCF". In case the probabilitydistributions of the parameters are known, a classical risk analysis graphcan be plotted where each candidate configuration is placed according to twodimensions:one axis representing the expected value and the other axis thevariability or risk measure. Often the corporation does not know the valueof the α parameter that corresponds to its risk preferences and is interestedin identifying several alternative high-quality supply chain configurations forvarious values of "α". The efficiency frontier is the collection of supply chainconfigurations that are not Pareto-dominated by any other configuration, i.e.for any efficient or non Pareto-dominated configuration, no configuration existsthat has simultaneously a larger expected value and a smaller variabilityoperator. For a given set or sample of supply chain configurations that are locatedin the risk analysis graph, the sample efficiency envelope (SEE) of thoseconfigurations can be determined by connecting efficient configurations. ThisSEE is an approximation of the efficiency frontier. The risk analysis graphfor an industrial case with the standard deviation chosen as risk measure andincluding the SEE is shown in Fig. 6.1. The risk analysis graph is a verypowerful communications tool with corporate executives since it displays ina concise manner the expected yield and risk of several possible candidates.It is the function of the strategic tools in the APS systems to perform all thecalculations, optimizations, and simulations that are then synthesized intothis graph.
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