First, we divided Cambodia into two geographic areasbased on the residence of the patient: (1) PP&K, theintervention area and (2) elsewhere in Cambodia, thecontrol area and computed the reported number of denguehospitalizations and deaths in each area by year from 1995to 2005. As a conservative approximation, we treatedPP&K as the only area where the large-scale interventionwas applied (despite the fact that 27.6% (i.e. 0.8 million ⁄2.9 million) of the population affected by the intervention lived outside these areas. This simplification wasnecessary because epidemiologic data were not availablebelow the province level. Second, we divided the yearsanalysed into two periods: ‘before’ (1995–2000) and‘during’ the intervention (2001–2005) and averaged thenumber of hospitalized dengue cases and deaths for eachperiod. Third, we expressed the number of hospitalizeddengue cases in PP&K as a percentage of the number ofdengue hospitalizations elsewhere in Cambodia for eachyear and for the annual average in the period. Fourth, weassumed that if no intervention had occurred in PP&K, thecalculated annual average percentage from the ‘before’period would have remained unchanged in the ‘during’period. By multiplying the percentage in step three timesthe reported dengue hospitalized cases elsewhere in Cambodia for each of the years 2001–2005, we obtained theexpected number of hospitalized dengue cases in PP&Kthat would have occurred in the absence of intervention ineach of these years. Fifth, we calculated the number ofhospitalized dengue cases averted in PP&K in eachintervention year as the difference between the expectedand reported annual number of dengue hospitalizations inPP&K. Sixth, we tested whether the mean number of casesaverted over the 5 years was significantly positive using aone-tailed t-test with the level of significance of 0.05.
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