Để được tiếp tục...Andrew Korybko là nhà phân tích chính trị và nhà báo cho Sputnik những người hiện đang sống và nghiên cứu tại Moscow, độc quyền để xem xét phương Đông.Myanmar và bí ẩn cuộc đảo chính mềm nỗ lực (II)Thứ bảy, Tháng Chín 5, 2015Đông nam áBởi Andrew KORYBKO (Hoa Kỳ)(Xin vui lòng đọc phần I trước khi bài viết này)Sương mù của chiến tranh Hybrid creep qua sông AyeyarwaddyMyanmar’s already fragile domestic stability has been further undermined by this soft coup attempt and the subsequent high-risks game being played out through Suu Kyi and Shwe Mann’s public alliance against the government. The country has been mired in the world’s longest-running civil war (despite the uneasy truce signed at the end of March), but on top of that, it’s recently had to deal with the continued threat of another Indian cross-border military intervention, the rise of a “secular ISIL”, and a South Asian “Kosovo” in Rohingyaland. There’s no doubt that Myanmar can ill afford a split in the government at this critical moment of its history, but that’s apparently what’s happened with Shwe Mann and his affiliates’ purge from power and their subsequent alliance with Western ‘darling’ Suu Kyi and her hyper-nationalist Buddhist thugs. It’s not yet ascertained what extent of influence Shwe Mann had prior to his removal as USDP chairman (although it can be inferred that his hold on the military wasn’t as substantial as some believe since he ultimately failed to accomplish Suu Kyi’s constitutional gambit), but one must assume that he still has some allies and support among the general masses, especially since he had been so publicly groomed for what was expected to be his next imminent position. Joining forces with Suu Kyi is intended to connect each of their respective support bases into an on-the-ground social superstructure that could pose a serious threat to the government, both in terms of the upcoming elections and any possible Hybrid War provocations immediately afterwards.
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