This phenomenon is most likely rooted in political pressures thatgovernments in resource-rich countries face. Those pressures aresuch that it may be far easier to increase public expenditure duringcommodity price booms than to cut public expenditure duringcommodity price busts. In other words, bias in the fiscal responseto commodity price shocks may explain the tendency for the levelof the REER to remain elevated in commodity-rich countriesfollowing a decrease in commodity prices. For the most part,commodity-rich countries continued to accumulate debt as publicexpenditure failed to adjust sufficiently downwards following commodityprice decreases, as documented in Arezki and Bruckner.
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