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ould the UK return to recession?Fol
ould the UK return to recession?
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
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ould the UK return to recession?
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
đang được dịch, vui lòng đợi..
ould the UK return to recession?
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
Following two successive quarters of (albeit relatively slow) economic growth, the UK economy looks less likely than it once did to suffer a ‘double-dip’ recession. Government borrowing, though still high, is lower than previously forecast. Although unemployment has risen to around two-and-a-half million, this is lower than some predictions of three million or more. Despite some downward shocks, the FTSE 100 has risen strongly over the past year, and the housing market has shown increasing strength.
However, the recovery remains far from secure. Though unemployment seems to have stabilised, employment has continued to fall. The impacts of possible tax rises and cuts to public expenditure are not fully known. Inflation is running well above the 2% target. The Bank of England’s base rate may yet have to rise as a consequence.
At the height of the recession, GDP fell by 2.6% in a single quarter (Q1 2009) – the same percentage by which the economy expanded during the whole of 2007.
The recession was the ‘deepest’ recession (in terms of lost output) in the UK since quarterly data were first published in 1955. Actual growth in 2009 saw the sharpest fall in GDP (-5.0%) in a calendar year since official figures began in 1949 and the highest fall since 1931, excluding the recession following the Second World War. The slowdown affected all sectors of the economy, though manufacturing and construction were particularly affected.
A global downturn
The downturn in economic activity was felt across the world, with many countries, including all G7 economies, falling into recession during 2008. So far, GDP has failed to return to pre-recession levels in all of the G7 countries.
The UK was in recession longer than the other G7 economies and was the last to exit. However, Japan (8.7%), Italy (6.9%) and Germany (6.8%) suffered greater total contractions in GDP than the UK’s 6.4% and both Japan and Italy have since suffered a further quarter of negative growth. The possibility remains that some EU Member States may experience a ‘double-dip’, returning to recession after a short period of slow growth.
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